Results for Commitment of Traders
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Key Chart Points Hold and the Dollar's Rally Stalls Ahead of the Weekend

May 19, 2023
Overview: Hawkish comments from Fed officials and the first decline in continuing unemployment claims below 1.8 mln in two months boosted US rates and the odds of a June rate hike rose to about 37%. This represents a near tripling of the probability in the past week. It has been a trend with the odds rising in 9 of the past 11 sessions. The two-ye…
Key Chart Points Hold and the Dollar's Rally Stalls Ahead of the Weekend Key Chart Points Hold and the Dollar's Rally Stalls Ahead of the Weekend Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 19, 2023 Rating: 5
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Delta Variant Saps Risk Taking Appetites, Sending the Greenback Higher even as Rates Fall Delta Variant Saps Risk Taking Appetites, Sending the Greenback Higher even as Rates Fall Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 19, 2021 Rating: 5
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Markets Prove Resilient to Start New Week

August 24, 2020
Overview:  New virus outbreaks in Europe and Asia are not adversely impacting the capital markets today.  Global equities are firmer.  Some reports suggesting the US ban on WeChat may not be as broad as initially signaled helped lift Hong Kong shares, but nearly all the markets in the region traded higher.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is foll…
Markets Prove Resilient to Start New Week Markets Prove Resilient to Start New Week Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 24, 2020 Rating: 5
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Speculative Positioning in Selected Currency Futures

August 10, 2020
With the media playing up the US dollar's negatives, one would think speculators are short the greenback like there is no tomorrow.  Yet a review of the Commitment of Traders report that covers the week through last Tuesday, August 4, shows that this is not really the case.  
Below the speculative positioning of four currency futures is reviewe…
Speculative Positioning in Selected Currency Futures Speculative Positioning in Selected Currency Futures Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 10, 2020 Rating: 5
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Where can Mexico Go?

March 24, 2020
In the old world that ended sometime last month, the peso was a king. It was among the strongest currencies in the world and appreciated against the US dollar for the past three years. It appreciated nearly 10% against the greenback, which itself was rising against most currencies.  
Mexico is poorly placed to deal with the coming economic shock. T…
Where can Mexico Go? Where can Mexico Go? Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 24, 2020 Rating: 5
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Odds and Ends: NATO, Treasuries, SPX, and China

July 11, 2018
The US new tariff threat and Trump's comments at the NATO summit are among the only things people want to talk about today.  Trump's support in the Gallup tracking poll is steady at just above 40%.  But even many American who are not supporters like that the Trump is standing up to what they characterize as free-riders in Europe and which …
Odds and Ends: NATO, Treasuries, SPX, and China Odds and Ends: NATO, Treasuries, SPX, and China Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 11, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken

May 30, 2018
When one trades futures, one declares whether one has an underlying business need, in which case one is considered a commercial.  If no underlying business need exists, one is classified as a non-commercial, which in the vernacular of the market is a speculator. 
This first Great Graphic, created on Bloomberg, shows the net speculative euro positio…
Great Graphic: Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken Great Graphic: Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 30, 2018 Rating: 5
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Speculative Positioning in the Currency Futures

April 30, 2018
Sentiment has swung back in favor of the dollar.   The price action has forced many non-believers to take seriously the possibility that interest rates do ultimately matter and the perceived desire of the Trump Administration does not stand in the way of a stronger dollar.  
Speculative market positioning is slower to change, and that is what the C…
Speculative Positioning in the Currency Futures Speculative Positioning in the Currency Futures Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 30, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Has Position Adjustment Begun in Treasury Futures? Great Graphic: Has Position Adjustment Begun in Treasury Futures? Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 26, 2018 Rating: 5
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