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Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven

March 02, 2026
There is one fundamental driver today and that is the Middle East war. After finishing last week on a soft note, the greenback has rallied. It is up by 0.5% or more against most of the G10 currencies. The Canadian dollar, which often performs relatively better in a strong US dollar environment is off the by about 0.1% in late European morning turn…
Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 02, 2026 Rating: 5
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March 2026 Monthly

February 28, 2026
March seems to be more about the unfolding of current forces driving the capital markets, rather than new forces or policies. All the G10 central banks but the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meet in March, and none are likely to change policy. China formalizes its next Five-Year Plan. In the US, the Supreme Court's ruling that the president's…
March 2026 Monthly March 2026 Monthly Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 28, 2026 Rating: 5
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PBOC Steadies the Yuan, Denmark Calls Snap Election, Greens' Win the UK Special Election PBOC Steadies the Yuan, Denmark Calls Snap Election, Greens' Win the UK Special Election Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 27, 2026 Rating: 5
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Yen and Yuan Gains Featured in Quiet FX Market

February 26, 2026
In a reversal of fortunes, the Japanese yen is the only G10 currency that is gaining on the dollar through the European morning. Yesterday, it was the only G10 currency to have weakened against the greenback. Still, the general tone in the foreign exchange market is one of consolidation. The notable exception is the Chinese yuan. The onshore yuan …
Yen and Yuan Gains Featured in Quiet FX Market Yen and Yuan Gains Featured in Quiet FX Market Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 26, 2026 Rating: 5
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Yen and JGBs Sold on New BOJ Nominees While Japanese Stocks Rally to Record Highs Yen and JGBs Sold on New BOJ Nominees While Japanese Stocks Rally to Record Highs Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 25, 2026 Rating: 5
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Yen Slides on a Double Whammy

February 24, 2026
The US dollar is mostly slightly firmer against the most of the G10 currencies but largely confined to its recent ranges. The yen is the notable exception. Beijing announced it is sanctioning more Japanese companies with military ties and put others on a watch-list, which no doubt will have a cooling effect. At the same time, recent data shows man…
Yen Slides on a Double Whammy Yen Slides on a Double Whammy Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 24, 2026 Rating: 5
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When All is Said and Done in FX, Little has been Done

February 23, 2026
The US dollar was fairly resilient in the face of the softer than expected Q4 GDP reading and the Supreme Court’s tariff decision. However, it came under pressure earlier today in the Asia Pacific session, in which Tokyo was closed for a national holiday. It clawed its way back in Europe and is now narrowly mixed. If American leadership is sought …
When All is Said and Done in FX, Little has been Done When All is Said and Done in FX, Little has been Done Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 23, 2026 Rating: 5
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