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Week Ahead: War and More War

March 07, 2026
The Middle East war changes everything. And President Trump's demand for an unconditional surrender makes a near-term off-ramp more difficult to envision. Moreover, the impact ripples through a wide swath the global economy. Food is very oil and gas intensive, taking into account transportation, fertilizer, and pesticides. Worker remittances a…
Week Ahead: War and More War Week Ahead: War and More War Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 07, 2026 Rating: 5
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War Continues to Roil the Markets

March 06, 2026
The war continues to disrupt the global capital markets. The US dollar remains firm though mostly within the ranges seen in recent days. It is threatening to break higher against the Japanese yen, where the JPY158 level is coming under pressure. Still, the yen, despite Japan’s reliance on imported oil and refined products is the second-best perfor…
War Continues to Roil the Markets War Continues to Roil the Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 06, 2026 Rating: 5
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War-Driven Markets

March 05, 2026
The Gulf War continues rage. China has reportedly told top oil refiners to suspend exports of diesel and gasoline. The disruption is beginning to impact shipments of fertilizer, chemicals, aluminum, as well as natural gas and oil fuels. In the next few days, several countries will reportedly run out of storage capacity and will have to cut output.…
War-Driven Markets War-Driven Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 05, 2026 Rating: 5
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Nervous Consolidation Featured after the Asia Pacific Equity Rout was Extended Nervous Consolidation Featured after the Asia Pacific Equity Rout was Extended Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 04, 2026 Rating: 5
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The Dollar is the Only Game in Town

March 03, 2026
If this is World War 3, the world wants dollars. The greenback is broadly higher but hardly anything else is. Other safe haven, like gold, the Swiss franc, and US Treasuries are lower. Equity markets have been sold off and the rally in oil is taking a toll on bond markets. The Middle East war is the only fundamental that matters now. And the fog o…
The Dollar is the Only Game in Town The Dollar is the Only Game in Town Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2026 Rating: 5
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Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven

March 02, 2026
There is one fundamental driver today and that is the Middle East war. After finishing last week on a soft note, the greenback has rallied. It is up by 0.5% or more against most of the G10 currencies. The Canadian dollar, which often performs relatively better in a strong US dollar environment is off the by about 0.1% in late European morning turn…
Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 02, 2026 Rating: 5
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March 2026 Monthly

February 28, 2026
March seems to be more about the unfolding of current forces driving the capital markets, rather than new forces or policies. All the G10 central banks but the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meet in March, and none are likely to change policy. China formalizes its next Five-Year Plan. In the US, the Supreme Court's ruling that the president's…
March 2026 Monthly March 2026 Monthly Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 28, 2026 Rating: 5
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