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Dollar Consolidates to Start the New Week

July 15, 2024
Overview: The assassination attempt on former President Trump has injected a new dynamic as his chances of being re-elected appear to have risen. There are a few trades that seem to benefit from a second term:  steepening yield curve, weaker Mexican peso, and stronger crypto. The dollar initially strengthened as the market's initially responde…
Dollar Consolidates to Start the New Week Dollar Consolidates to Start the New Week Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 15, 2024 Rating: 5
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Today's Battle: Soft US CPI vs Stretched Momentum Indicators and Two Fed Cuts Discounted Today's Battle: Soft US CPI vs Stretched Momentum Indicators and Two Fed Cuts Discounted Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 11, 2024 Rating: 5
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Narrow Ranges for the Dollar Prevail Ahead of Tomorrow's US CPI

July 10, 2024
Overview: The dollar is mostly softer today, but largely within the recent ranges, as the market appears to be waiting for tomorrow's US CPI. There are a few exceptions to note. The yen is trading near its recent lows. A less hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand has triggered a sell-off of the local dollar. Softer than expected Norwegian inflat…
Narrow Ranges for the Dollar Prevail Ahead of Tomorrow's US CPI Narrow Ranges for the Dollar Prevail Ahead of Tomorrow's US CPI Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 10, 2024 Rating: 5
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No Turn Around Tuesday as Greenback Remains Firm

July 02, 2024
Taking the next few days off.  Will be back with week ahead commentary on  July 6.  

Overview: The sharp jump in US long-term interest rates has helped lift the greenback in recent sessions and it remains firm against most of the G10 currencies today. The Canadian dollar is the best performer, and it is nearly flat. The intraday momentum indicators…
No Turn Around Tuesday as Greenback Remains Firm No Turn Around Tuesday as Greenback Remains Firm Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 02, 2024 Rating: 5
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US Yields and Dollar Rise After US Government Closure Averted

October 02, 2023
Overview: The US avoided a government shutdown, barely, and this eased one of the headwinds that were anticipated. In turn, this is spurring new gains in US interest rates and helping underpin the dollar at the start of the new quarter. The 10-year Treasury is holding above 4.60% and nearing last week's high (4.68%). The two-year yield gapped …
US Yields and Dollar Rise After US Government Closure Averted US Yields and Dollar Rise After US Government Closure Averted Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 02, 2023 Rating: 5
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The Return of Spheres of Influence

January 27, 2020
Traditionally, international relations were driven by what is called spheres of influence.  European and Japanese governments divided Asia and Africa among them. The spheres were often political concessions or the result of direct force,   War was often the price to be paid for increasing one's sphere.  Though simplistically expressed here to …
The Return of Spheres of Influence The Return of Spheres of Influence Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 27, 2020 Rating: 5
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Dollar Bull Case Intact: It is All About the Perspective

July 19, 2016
Our underlying constructive outlook for the US dollar remains intact.  It is broadly based on the divergence between the US and most other major economies.   The US acted early and aggressively to counter the Great Financial Crisis.  Unorthodox policies, such as quantitative easing,  were adopted years before the ECB and BOJ.   This has produced d…
Dollar Bull Case Intact: It is All About the Perspective Dollar Bull Case Intact: It is All About the Perspective Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 19, 2016 Rating: 5
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Sterling Slips and Aussie Pops as Investors Await Fresh Insight into Fed Trajectory Sterling Slips and Aussie Pops as Investors Await Fresh Insight into Fed Trajectory Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 31, 2016 Rating: 5
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