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US Polls Spur Position Adjusting Ahead of Tomorrow's Election

November 04, 2024
Overview: Weekend polls in the US made it seem that the Trump victory, which many large pools of capital, had discounted, was not so inevitable after all. The most dramatic market response was taking US yields and the dollar lower. The US 10-year yield is off about nine basis points to straddle 4.30% and the two-year yield down four basis points t…
US Polls Spur Position Adjusting Ahead of Tomorrow's Election US Polls Spur Position Adjusting Ahead of Tomorrow's Election Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 04, 2024 Rating: 5
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Capital Markets are Calm though Anxiety Continues to Run High

October 16, 2023
Overview: The risk that the war in Israel spreads remains palatable, and several observers have warned of the greatest risks of a world war in a generation. Still, the capital markets remain relatively calm. The US dollar is softer after closing last week firmly. The only G10 currency unable to post corrective upticks today is the Swiss franc. Amo…
Capital Markets are Calm though Anxiety Continues to Run High Capital Markets are Calm though Anxiety Continues to Run High Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 16, 2023 Rating: 5
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Dollar Steadies after Yesterday's Surge, Oil Jumps Ahead of the Weekend while Yields Soften Dollar Steadies after Yesterday's Surge, Oil Jumps Ahead of the Weekend while Yields Soften Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 13, 2023 Rating: 5
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Strategic Ambiguity Leaves Intervention Question Unanswered, but US Dollar has Steadied Strategic Ambiguity Leaves Intervention Question Unanswered, but US Dollar has Steadied Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 04, 2023 Rating: 5
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US Dollar Comes Back Better Bid

February 15, 2023
Overview: Although the US January CPI was in line with expectations, the year-over-year rate was a little firmer than expected. Still, the measure that Fed Chair Powell has underscored, core services, excluding shelter, moderated with a 0.3% month-over-month gain. US rates shot up and this lent the dollar support, while weighing on equities and ri…
US Dollar Comes Back Better Bid US Dollar Comes Back Better Bid Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 15, 2023 Rating: 5
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Markets are Less on Edge as the Darkest Scenarios seem Less Likely

November 16, 2022
Overview: The situation in central Europe is still intense but it appears top US, European and Polish officials are more reluctant than some market participants to attribute the darkest of intentions and paint extreme narratives. The Polish zloty has recovered around 1.3% today and other central European currencies are also trading firmer to lead …
Markets are Less on Edge as the Darkest Scenarios seem Less Likely Markets are Less on Edge as the Darkest Scenarios seem Less Likely Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 16, 2022 Rating: 5
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The Week Ahead: How Sticky is US Inflation and How Soft is China's?

November 05, 2022
There are three potential inflection points. The first is a pause from the Fed; if nothing else, Powell signaled it was too early to think about it. The second is for the Bank of Japan to change monetary policy. Governor Kuroda has signaled that it is not time. Conventional wisdom is there will not be a change until Kuroda's term ends next Apr…
The Week Ahead: How Sticky is US Inflation and How Soft is China's? The Week Ahead: How Sticky is US Inflation and How Soft is China's? Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 05, 2022 Rating: 5
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