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In Uncoordinated Steps, Japan and China Help Slow Greenback's Rally

September 11, 2023
Overview: The Bank of Japan Governor Ueda hinted the world's third-largest economy may exit negative interest rates before the end of the year. This sparked the strongest gain in the yen in a couple of months and lifted the 10-year yield to nearly 0.70%. In an uncoordinated fashion, Chinese officials stepped their rhetoric and indicated that c…
In Uncoordinated Steps, Japan and China Help Slow Greenback's Rally In Uncoordinated Steps, Japan and China Help Slow Greenback's Rally Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 11, 2023 Rating: 5
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OPEC+ Surprises while Manufacturing Remains Challenged

April 03, 2023
Overview: News of OPEC+ unexpected output cuts saw May WTI gap sharply higher and helped lift bond yields. May WTI settled near three-week highs before the weekend near $75.65 and opened today near $80. It reached almost $81.70 before stabilizing and is straddling the $80 area before the North American session. The high for the year was set in the…
OPEC+ Surprises while Manufacturing Remains Challenged OPEC+ Surprises while Manufacturing Remains Challenged Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 03, 2023 Rating: 5
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US Banking Crisis Swamps Other Considerations

March 13, 2023
Overview:  The US banking crisis has overwhelmed other market drivers. The strong measures announced as Asia Pacific trading got under way was embraced by the market even though moral hazard issues and gaps in the Dodd-Frank regulatory framework were exposed. The dollar is trading heavily. The prospect of a 50 bp Fed hike next week has evaporated …
US Banking Crisis Swamps Other Considerations US Banking Crisis Swamps Other Considerations Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 13, 2023 Rating: 5
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Where We Stand: The Present and the Future of the Dollar

March 19, 2022
(Business travel prevents my weekly discussion of the price action.  It will return next week, but a macro discussion is offered below). Economists and policymakers generally recognize that growth will be weaker than was anticipated at the end of last year. Price pressures are going to be stronger and last longer than previously projected. The sup…
Where We Stand: The Present and the Future of the Dollar Where We Stand: The Present and the Future of the Dollar Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 19, 2022 Rating: 5
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China Reassures, Ignites Stock Market Rally as the FOMC's Decision is Awaited China Reassures, Ignites Stock Market Rally as the FOMC's Decision is Awaited Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 16, 2022 Rating: 5
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China and Hong Kong Stocks Plummet, Yields Soar

March 14, 2022
Overview: While the World Health Organization debates about downgrading Covid from a pandemic, the rise China and Hong Kong cases is striking.  A lockdown in Shenzhen and restrictions in Shanghai, coupled with a record fine by PBOC officials on Tencent drove local stocks sharply lower.  China's CSI 300 fell 3% and a measure of Chinese stocks t…
China and Hong Kong Stocks Plummet, Yields Soar China and Hong Kong Stocks Plummet, Yields Soar Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 14, 2022 Rating: 5
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Capital and Commodity Markets Strain

March 04, 2022
Overview:  The capital and commodity markets are becoming less orderly.  The scramble for dollars is pressuring the cross-currency basis swaps.  Volatility is racing higher in bond and stock markets.  The industrial metals and other supplies, and foodstuffs that Russia and Ukraine are important providers have skyrocketed.  Large Asia Pacific equit…
Capital and Commodity Markets Strain Capital and Commodity Markets Strain Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 04, 2022 Rating: 5
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