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Fall of French Government Does Not Roil the Markets and a BOJ Dove did not Rule out Rate Hike this Month Fall of French Government Does Not Roil the Markets and a BOJ Dove did not Rule out Rate Hike this Month Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 05, 2024 Rating: 5
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French Government on Precipice, Presses Euro Lower

December 02, 2024
Overview: The US dollar is beginning the new week and month on a firm note. It is rising against all the G10 currencies and nearly all the emerging market currencies. US-President-elect Trump's threat to BRICS if they abandon the dollar is symbolic than substantive, as we have argued, despite the occasional claim to the contrary, a BRICS curre…
French Government on Precipice, Presses Euro Lower French Government on Precipice, Presses Euro Lower Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 02, 2024 Rating: 5
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Trump's Tariff Talks Wobble Forex Market, Close Neighbors Suffer Most

November 26, 2024
Overview: As some market pundits were debating about a possible grand deal between the US and China. In exchange for a lighter tariff regime, Beijing would accept yuan appreciation. As far-fetched as such scenario may be, it was predicated on ideas that people like the Bessent, the Treasury Secretary-nominee, was pragmatic. Trump's comments hi…
Trump's Tariff Talks Wobble Forex Market, Close Neighbors Suffer Most Trump's Tariff Talks Wobble Forex Market,  Close Neighbors Suffer Most Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 26, 2024 Rating: 5
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The Dollar's Surge Continues

November 14, 2024
Overview: The dollar's surge continues. Most G10 currencies are off 0.45%-0.65%. The US dollar is trading above CAD1.40 for the first time since the pandemic, but the Canadian dollar is faring the best of the G10 today (~-0.15%). Since US election, it is the only major currency not to have fallen by at least 2%. All the emerging market currenc…
The Dollar's Surge Continues The Dollar's Surge Continues Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 14, 2024 Rating: 5
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Searching for Direction

November 08, 2024
Overview: The capital markets have been choppy as pre-existing positioning meets new thoughts on the implications of a second Trump administration. The dollar has found better footing today after giving back a chunk of Wednesday's gains yesterday. The yen is an exception, but it is not exception that the dollar trades heavier against the yen a…
Searching for Direction Searching for Direction Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 08, 2024 Rating: 5
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Serenity Now

November 07, 2024
Overview:  The markets are calmer after yesterday's post-US election drama. A consolidative tone has emerged in the foreign exchange market, and the dollar is softer against all the G10 currencies, led the 1% gain in the Norwegian krone, after the central bank left rates on hold. Sweden's Riksbank delivered the expected half-point cut and …
Serenity Now Serenity Now Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 07, 2024 Rating: 5
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Greenback Consolidates

October 22, 2024
Overview:  US interest rates remain firm and the dollar is mostly consolidating against the G10 currencies, in a muted "Turn Around Tuesday." The greenback is straddling the JPY151 area, its best level since the end of July. Despite bearish price action yesterday, the euro, sterling, and Australian dollar have seen limited follow-through…
Greenback Consolidates Greenback Consolidates Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 22, 2024 Rating: 5
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Risk of 50 bp cut by the Fed Tomorrow Keeps the Greenback on the Defensive

September 17, 2024
Overview: With heightened expectations of a 50 bp cut by the Federal Reserve tomorrow, the dollar has not gotten a reprieve and is softer against nearly all the currencies. Japan's long holiday weekend ended, and the greenback has held above JPY140 today. It is consolidating, but against most of the G10 currencies, the dollar's losses have…
Risk of 50 bp cut by the Fed Tomorrow Keeps the Greenback on the Defensive Risk of 50 bp cut by the Fed Tomorrow Keeps the Greenback on the Defensive Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 17, 2024 Rating: 5
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The Market Discounts around a 40% Chance of not One but Two 50 bp Cuts in last Three FOMC Meetings of the Year Ahead of Jobs Report

September 06, 2024
Overview: The US jobs report is front and center. The market is going into the report with about a 40% chance of a 50 bp Fed rate cut later this month. The Dollar Index is trading lower for the third consecutive session. Helped by the fifth consecutive decline in US 10-year yields, the yen approached last month's high but without the turmoil s…
The Market Discounts around a 40% Chance of not One but Two 50 bp Cuts in last Three FOMC Meetings of the Year Ahead of Jobs Report The Market Discounts around a 40% Chance of not One but Two 50 bp Cuts in last Three FOMC Meetings of the Year Ahead of Jobs Report Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 06, 2024 Rating: 5
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