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Week Ahead: US CPI to Temper Aggressive Fed Rate Cut Speculation, French Political Intrigue and Possible Downgrade, while ECB Stands Pat

September 06, 2025
The poor US employment data fanned speculation of a 50 bp rate cut when the Fed meets on September 17. Even though more unwelcome news from the labor market is expected with next week's BLS annual benchmark revisions that could wipe out 500k-1 mln jobs (the adjustment last year was 818k lower), the risk of a large Fed cut may be exaggerated. A…
Week Ahead: US CPI to Temper Aggressive Fed Rate Cut Speculation, French Political Intrigue and Possible Downgrade, while ECB Stands Pat Week Ahead: US CPI to Temper Aggressive Fed Rate Cut Speculation, French Political Intrigue and Possible Downgrade, while ECB Stands Pat Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 06, 2025 Rating: 5
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Dollar Slumps Ahead of the Employment Report

September 05, 2025
Overview: The focus is on US employment today. Weak jobs growth and a tick up in the unemployment rate are expected to spur the Fed's first rate cut of the year in a couple of weeks. Position adjusting ahead of the report has weighed on the greenback broadly and overwhelmed the unexpectedly poor Germany factory orders and the data problem in U…
Dollar Slumps Ahead of the Employment Report Dollar Slumps Ahead of the Employment Report Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 05, 2025 Rating: 5
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US Jobs Data Key to Near-Term Greenback's Fate

September 04, 2025
Overview: The US dollar is firm against the G10 currencies today but is mostly trading inside yesterday's ranges. After yesterday's disappointing JOLTS report attention turns to the ADP estimate today, ahead of tomorrow's BLS report. The lack of follow-through selling after yesterday's losses may be encouraging some short-term mome…
US Jobs Data Key to Near-Term Greenback's Fate US Jobs Data Key to Near-Term Greenback's Fate Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 04, 2025 Rating: 5
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Dollar Stabilizes

September 03, 2025
Overview: After yesterday's jump, the dollar is mostly consolidating at lower levels today. The Scandis and euro are leading the recovery of the G10 currencies, the New Zealand and Canadian dollars, and yen are nursing small losses. Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba was not blamed for the electoral losses in a party investigation, but the LDP wil…
Dollar Stabilizes Dollar Stabilizes Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 03, 2025 Rating: 5
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The Greenback Surges While Rates Jump

September 02, 2025
Overview: A broadly stronger US dollar greets the returning North American participants from the long holiday weekend. The greenback has risen by 0.7% or more against most of the G10 currencies. The Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar have fared best and are off less than 0.2%. Sterling is bearing the brunt. It is off nearly 1.15%. The yen is down…
The Greenback Surges While Rates Jump The Greenback Surges While Rates Jump Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 02, 2025 Rating: 5
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