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Calmer Markets as Tensions Ease

March 04, 2014
News that Russian President Putin has recalled some troops back to their bases is seen as a conciliatory gesture and the Chinese yuan closed higher, snapping a 10-day drop.  The global capital markets are generally retracing part of yesterday's response to the weekend developments.    
Asian equities eked out a small gain, with the MSCI Asia-Pa…
Calmer Markets as Tensions Ease Calmer Markets as Tensions Ease Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 04, 2014 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: CNBC's Closing Bell: Ukraine, Emerging Markets, ECB and the Dollar Cool Video:  CNBC's  Closing Bell:  Ukraine, Emerging Markets,  ECB and the Dollar Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2014 Rating: 5
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Another Thumbnail Historic Sketch: Russia and Georgia

March 03, 2014
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)

Parallels have already been drawn between current events in Ukraine and the Russian-Georgian conflict of 2008. These parallels are unmistakable, yet the one big difference so far is that Ukraine has taken care not to give Russia any excuse to engage in a full-scale invasion to other parts of eastern Ukraine. Anoth…
Another Thumbnail Historic Sketch: Russia and Georgia Another Thumbnail Historic Sketch:  Russia and Georgia Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2014 Rating: 5
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Emerging Markets: Preview of the Week Ahead

March 03, 2014
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)

The situation in Crimea remains tense and has impacted global markets.  In particular, Russian equities are down nearly 12% on the day, while the ruble basket continues to trade outside of today’s 35.40-42.40 corridor, necessitating large-scale FX intervention to bring it back within it.  The central bank of Russia …
Emerging Markets: Preview of the Week Ahead Emerging Markets:  Preview of the Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2014 Rating: 5
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Geopolitics Takes Toll, Euro and Sterling Remain Resilient

March 03, 2014
The market's response  to the Russia invasion and occupation of Crimea has wobbled the foreign exchange market and sent bonds higher and equities lower.  Gold and oil are more than 1% higher. As one would expect both the Russian and Ukrainian currencies and equity markets have sold off.   Eastern and Central European markets have also been amo…
Geopolitics Takes Toll, Euro and Sterling Remain Resilient Geopolitics Takes Toll, Euro and Sterling Remain Resilient Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2014 Rating: 5
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Seven Event Risks in the Week Ahead

March 02, 2014
The week ahead could very well be the most important week of the month.  Four central banks from the high income countries meet, the latest purchasing managers surveys will be released and the latest reading on the US labor market will be announced.
At the same time, Russia's move on Crimea and the US and European response may eclipse, at leas…
Seven Event Risks in the Week Ahead Seven Event Risks in the Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 02, 2014 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Piketty Summarizes his book Capital in 21st Century

March 02, 2014
In this  Cool Video from You Tube, Professor T. Piketty provides an overview of his book Capital in the 21st Century.  In a little less than 4 minutes learn why this timely book will help shape the current discussion of inequality.   The book's thesis is that because profits grow faster than the economy, there is a concentration of wealth and…
Cool Video: Piketty Summarizes his book Capital in 21st Century Cool Video:   Piketty Summarizes his book Capital in 21st Century Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 02, 2014 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Crimean War and Some Thoughts about the Present

March 01, 2014
This Cool Video by War Scholar is a short (4 1/2 minute) overview of the Crimean War that took place in the mid-19th century.   Two general points seem to be made.  First, the war is a transitional war in that old tactics were used, such as column troop formations, but new technologies were deployed, such as the French iron-clad ships.  The US Ci…
Cool Video: Crimean War and Some Thoughts about the Present Cool Video:  Crimean War and Some Thoughts about the Present Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 01, 2014 Rating: 5
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Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Big Week Ahead

March 01, 2014
Technical and fundamentals appear aligned against the dollar versus most of the major currencies in the week ahead.   Last week, we cautioned against playing for a break out, pending key data.  The the higher than expected preliminary CPI figure from the euro zone before the weekend, lifted the euro and Swiss franc to new highs.  Sterling is poise…
Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Big Week Ahead Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook:  Big Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 01, 2014 Rating: 5
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