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Emerging Market Preview

November 04, 2013
(from my colleagues Dr. Win Thin and Ilan Solot)
Mexico reports October consumer confidence later today and is expected at 92.8 vs. 94.1 in September. Retail sales have been very weak recently as confidence weakens. Banco de Mexico releases its quarterly inflation report on Wednesday, while October CPI will be reported on Thursday and expected t…
Emerging Market Preview Emerging Market Preview Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 04, 2013 Rating: 5
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Three Dimensions of the Investment Climate

November 03, 2013
There are three dimensions to the broader investment climate:  the trajectory of Fed tapering, the ECB's response to the draining of excess liquidity and threat of deflation, and Chinese reforms to be unveiled at the Third Plenary session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.  
There has been increased speculation that the Federal R…
Three Dimensions of the Investment Climate Three Dimensions of the Investment Climate Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 03, 2013 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Pressures on China's 7-day Repo Rate and EONIA

November 03, 2013
This Great Graphic is meant to illustrate the difficulty central banks have in managing liquidity in the money markets due to various pressures.  Created on Bloomberg, this graph shows the 7-day repo rate in China (white line) and EONIA (yellow line), which is an index of the overnight euro rates.  
China's money market rates are well above t…
Great Graphic: Pressures on China's 7-day Repo Rate and EONIA Great Graphic: Pressures on China's 7-day Repo Rate and EONIA Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 03, 2013 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Asia Manufacturing PMIs

November 02, 2013
This Great Graphic was posted on the Financial Times' Beyond Brics blog.   It shows the manufacturing PMI for five Asian countries and Taiwan (perhaps being in China, more cognizant of the sensitivity of considering Taiwan a country). 
Except for India, all the manufacturing PMIs are above the 50 boom/bust level.  Of these six, this is the le…
Great Graphic: Asia Manufacturing PMIs Great Graphic: Asia Manufacturing PMIs Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 02, 2013 Rating: 5
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Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Dollar has Game

November 02, 2013
It appeared the US dollar was bottoming in the first half of October.  We had noted the possibility of head and shoulders reversal patterns in sterling and the Swiss franc.   These proved for naught, and yet, it still appears the dollar is carving out a bottom. The technical tone for the greenback has improved in recent days.
There has also been …
Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Dollar has Game Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Dollar has Game Reviewed by Marc Chandler on November 02, 2013 Rating: 5
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