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Near-Term Setback in Canada May Offer a New Buy Opportunity

June 02, 2009
Since early April, the Canadian dollar has been the best performing currency, gaining about 14% against the US dollar. The Canadian dollar's rise is a function of higher commodity prices, narrowing of interest premium offered by the US (Dec Canada BAs vs Dec Eurodollars), and the preliminary signs that the global economic crisis may be easing.…
Near-Term Setback in Canada May Offer a New Buy Opportunity Near-Term Setback in Canada May Offer a New Buy Opportunity Reviewed by magonomics on June 02, 2009 Rating: 5
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Which Interest Rate is Key for the Dollar?

June 02, 2009
Before the Fed's mid-March FOMC meeting it had already been engaged in purchasing mortgage-backed securities and agency bonds, yet its decision at that meeting to ramp things up and purchase Treasuries was seen by investors as a watershed. It is interesting to re-look at the relationship between the euro and yen and other asset classes with th…
Which Interest Rate is Key for the Dollar? Which Interest Rate is Key for the Dollar? Reviewed by magonomics on June 02, 2009 Rating: 5
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Dollar Bears Still Focused on Treasury Meltdown

June 01, 2009
US Treasury yields are surging. The 10-year note yield is now up 27 bp on the session at 3.72%. Several factors are weighing on US yields today. The ISM report, coupled with the the better readings in Europe and China, keeps the greenshoots story intact. Various measures of the tensions in the financial markets have eased. There are annecdotal rep…
Dollar Bears Still Focused on Treasury Meltdown Dollar Bears Still Focused on Treasury Meltdown Reviewed by magonomics on June 01, 2009 Rating: 5
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Market Reads Middle East News as Dollar Negative

June 01, 2009
The way the markets respond to news sometimes is more revealing of the market than the news itself. Consider news an economic advisor to Qatar's Emir is worried about the dollar and suggested that now is an opportunity to diversify into different countries and currencies. Dollar bears seemed to like this news, but two important points need to …
Market Reads Middle East News as Dollar Negative Market Reads Middle East News as Dollar Negative Reviewed by magonomics on June 01, 2009 Rating: 5
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Debt Market Developments Don't Explain the Dollar's Slump

June 01, 2009
Many investors and observers are concerned about the implications of the aggressive monetary and fiscal policy in the US. The dollar's recent slide has come alongside a sharp rise in US interest rates. Many are connecting the dots in a causal fashion, but appear to be jumping to a hasty conclusion.
Debt Market Developments Don't Explain the Dollar's Slump Debt Market Developments Don't Explain the Dollar's Slump Reviewed by magonomics on June 01, 2009 Rating: 5
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