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Why Intervention to Support the Dollar Remains Unlikely

March 14, 2008
The U.S. dollar has fallen sharply in recent days. It has reached new record highs against the euro and Swiss franc. It has fallen below the JPY100 level for the first time since 1995. At the same time oil and gold have raced to new record highs. News reports, citing analysts at a couple of large investment banks, say the intervention watch has be…
Why Intervention to Support the Dollar Remains Unlikely Why Intervention to Support the Dollar Remains Unlikely Reviewed by magonomics on March 14, 2008 Rating: 5
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If to Err is Human, is Forgiveness Really Divine

March 07, 2008
It is clear that the financial crisis that began in the US housing market and the derivatives tied to it has metastasized well beyond it, but it remains in the forefront of policy makers concerns. And for good reason, home ownership in the US reached almost 70% before the recent surge in foreclosures. An estimated 1% of homeowners were in some sta…
If to Err is Human, is Forgiveness Really Divine If to Err is Human, is Forgiveness Really Divine Reviewed by magonomics on March 07, 2008 Rating: 5
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Currency Strategies

February 29, 2008
At an estimated $3.2 trillion a day the foreign exchange market is the biggest of all the capital markets. The types of participants range from tourists and retail speculators, to institutional speculators like hedge funds and proprietary traders at banks, to hedgers like corporations and asset managers. Some view the currency market as a source o…
Currency Strategies Currency Strategies Reviewed by magonomics on February 29, 2008 Rating: 5
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National Security and the Dollar

February 22, 2008
The National Intelligence Director Michael McConnell provided his annual risk assessment recently to the Senate Intelligence Committee. In addition to the usual threats of terrorism, nuclear proliferation and the like, McConnell expressed concern about the US dollar. Such strategic concerns are misplaced and suggest that the Bush Administration co…
National Security and the Dollar National Security and the Dollar Reviewed by magonomics on February 22, 2008 Rating: 5
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This is the Rainy Day Japan's Reserves are Meant For- Published in the FT

February 22, 2008
Japan's economy is weakening, but the country will find it more problematic than other Group of Seven leading industrialized nations to deploy the orthodox policy tools they are using, or contemplating using. With interest rates already extremely low a rate cut would not seem a very effective stimulus and Japan is still experiencing a hang-ove…
This is the Rainy Day Japan's Reserves are Meant For- Published in the FT This is the Rainy Day Japan's Reserves are Meant For- Published in the FT Reviewed by magonomics on February 22, 2008 Rating: 5
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What Not to Expect from the G7 Meeting

February 06, 2008
The weekend G7 meeting is unlikely to generate fresh policy initiatives or inject a new force into the foreign exchange market. Indeed with concerns that the world’s biggest economy has begun contracting and as the world's second largest economy stumbles and the third largest economy slows, the foreign exchange market itself may not receive th…
What Not to Expect from the G7 Meeting What Not to Expect from the G7 Meeting Reviewed by magonomics on February 06, 2008 Rating: 5
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The Dollar: Takes a beating, Can it Keep on Ticking

February 01, 2008
The market has been inundated with a steady stream of dollar negative news. The Federal Reserve has slashed its funds rate target by 125 bp over the past ten days or so. Fourth quarter growth was about half of what the consensus expected. The New Year has begun poorly with the US actually shedding jobs for the first time in over four years. In fac…
The Dollar: Takes a beating, Can it Keep on Ticking The Dollar: Takes a beating, Can it Keep on Ticking Reviewed by magonomics on February 01, 2008 Rating: 5
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