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November 7th and the Dollar

October 27, 2006
Well aware that the US holds midterm elections on November 7 and that most polls suggest the Democratic Party may garner a majority in the House of Representatives and could get control of the Senate as well, investors have nonetheless taken a favorable look at US assets. The equity market has rallied strongly, with new record highs being recorded…
November 7th and the Dollar November 7th and the Dollar Reviewed by magonomics on October 27, 2006 Rating: 5
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The Dollar Saga: Where we are now

October 20, 2006
The US dollar’s price action in recent days has been significant. Essentially, this week’s developments indicate that the greenback’s recent advance is probably exhausted and a new period of weakness will likely unfold. Yet to be clear, in the bigger picture, what we are talking about is a move from the upper end of its 5-6 month trading range to …
The Dollar Saga: Where we are now The Dollar Saga: Where we are now Reviewed by magonomics on October 20, 2006 Rating: 5
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Is the Dollar Still Range Bound?

October 06, 2006
The last several weeks have been particularly difficult for short-term players in the foreign exchange market. Many have been chopped up as narrow ranges have prevailed—selling lows and buying the highs betting on a breakout which did not materialize. The US dollar appeared to break higher after a knee-jerk drop after news the job creation in Sept…
Is the Dollar Still Range Bound? Is the Dollar Still Range Bound? Reviewed by magonomics on October 06, 2006 Rating: 5
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Forces that Reflate

September 15, 2006
Over the past several weeks the US dollar has been largely confined to well worn ranges against the major foreign currencies. The equilibrium implied by range trading environment might be giving investors a false sense of security. There are a number of developments in other markets that warn that the calm in the foreign exchange market might not …
Forces that Reflate Forces that Reflate Reviewed by magonomics on September 15, 2006 Rating: 5
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G7: Lots of Thunder, Little Rain

September 08, 2006
Encouraged by French and German comments implying concern about the weakness of the yen, next week’s G7 and IMF meetings are taking on new significance in the foreign exchange market. Given the heightened uncertainty, speculative players are likely to continue to reduce their exposures in the days ahead. This means that the risk is on the dollar’s…
G7: Lots of Thunder, Little Rain G7: Lots of Thunder, Little Rain Reviewed by magonomics on September 08, 2006 Rating: 5
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