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Short Covering in the US Treasury Market Extends the Yield Pullback

April 14, 2022
Overview: What appears to be a powerful short-covering rally in the US debt market has helped steady equities and weighed on the dollar.  Singapore and South Korea joined New Zealand and Canada in tightening monetary policy.  Attention turns to the ECB now on the eve of a long-holiday weekend for many members.  The tech-sector led the US equity re…
Short Covering in the US Treasury Market Extends the Yield Pullback Short Covering in the US Treasury Market Extends the Yield Pullback Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 14, 2022 Rating: 5
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Fed Campaign toward Neutrality and the Difficult Row to Hoe for the ECB

April 09, 2022
The coming days are eventful. And that is with the known unknown, Russia's actions in Ukraine, held in abeyance.  It does not seem as if either side is truly serious about negotiations. Kyiv's proposal of a security guarantee by Poland or the US is not realistic. It would be tantamount to joining NATO. Ukraine President Zelensky appears to…
Fed Campaign toward Neutrality and the Difficult Row to Hoe for the ECB Fed Campaign toward Neutrality and the Difficult Row to Hoe for the ECB Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 09, 2022 Rating: 5
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China Bends, Russia Doubles Down, and the Euro Approaches $1.10

April 04, 2022
Overview: Russia's brutality as it re-positioned forces in Ukraine and China's move to ease the clash with US auditors dominate the news.  Hong Kong tech stocks rallied on the news while mainland markets are closed today and tomorrow for a national holiday.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has traded higher for the past three weeks.  European …
China Bends, Russia Doubles Down, and the Euro Approaches $1.10 China Bends, Russia Doubles Down, and the Euro Approaches $1.10 Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 04, 2022 Rating: 5
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Fed's Hiking Cycle Set to Begin

March 12, 2022
The are several high-frequency data points that often provide trading fodder for short-term participants, including US PPI, retail sales, industrial output, and housing starts. The eurozone sees January industrial production and trade figures. Japan is good for February trade and CPI. China gives February readings on retail sales, industrial outpu…
Fed's Hiking Cycle Set to Begin Fed's Hiking Cycle Set to Begin Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 12, 2022 Rating: 5
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European Currencies Continue to Bear the Brunt

March 03, 2022
Overview: Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the global response is a game-changer, as Fed Chair Powell told Congress yesterday.  The UK-based research group NISER estimated that world output will be cut by 1% next year or $1 trillion, and global inflation will be boosted by three percentage points this year and two next.  The recovery in US sto…
European Currencies Continue to Bear the Brunt European Currencies Continue to Bear the Brunt Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 03, 2022 Rating: 5
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War Fears Continue to Ripple Through the Capital Markets

February 14, 2022
Overview: Fear of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, spurred by comments from US officials triggered a dramatic market reaction ahead of the weekend, and it has continued today.  Risk has come off in many markets.  Equities have tumbled. Most of the major bourses in the Asia Pacific region were off 1-2%.  Australia was a notable exception as its gold …
War Fears Continue to Ripple Through the Capital Markets War Fears Continue to Ripple Through the Capital Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 14, 2022 Rating: 5
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Dollar Starts the Week Bid ahead of the FOMC

December 13, 2021
Overview: Equities, bonds, and the dollar begin the new week on a firm note.  Japanese, Chinese, Australian, and New Zealand equities advanced in the Asia Pacific region.  Europe's Stoxx 600 is snapping a three-day decline, and US futures are 0.25%-0.35% higher.  The US 10-year yield is a little softer at 1.48%. European benchmark yields are m…
Dollar Starts the Week Bid ahead of the FOMC Dollar Starts the Week Bid ahead of the FOMC Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 13, 2021 Rating: 5
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Central Bank Fest

December 11, 2021
Next week is the last big week of the year, and what a week it will be:  Five major central banks meet and at least nine from emerging market countries.  Norway's Norges Bank is the most likely major central bank to hike its key (deposit) rate (December 16).  It would be the second hike of the year.  The economy is enjoying a solid recovery, a…
Central Bank Fest Central Bank Fest Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 11, 2021 Rating: 5
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