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CNY/CNH: Chinese Financial Review

May 09, 2011
On April 18, S&P cut its credit outlook for US Treasuries from stable to negative. This was seen as a clear warning that if the US politicos cannot agree on a sustainable fiscal adjustment plan, the US triple-A rating was at risk. This shot across the bow, on the heels of President Obama’s proposed alternative to the Ryan plan, was widely disc…
CNY/CNH: Chinese Financial Review CNY/CNH: Chinese Financial Review Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 09, 2011 Rating: 5
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U.S. Exports: Where and What

April 16, 2010
Presidents of the United States often announce lofty goals in their annual State of the Union addresses. President Obama is no exception, among the recent goals he cited was a commitment to double U.S. exports in the next five years. To this end he appointed what the Administration calls an “export promotion cabinet”, composed of the Secretaries o…
U.S. Exports: Where and What U.S. Exports: Where and What Reviewed by magonomics on April 16, 2010 Rating: 5
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Key Drivers in Foreign Exchange Market

January 25, 2010
With fresh developments light on the ground today, it may be worthwhile to take a step back and re-examine the key drivers of the foreign exchange market.
Last week saw the emergence of a new factor that seemed to eclipse or at least mitigate the impact of the other drivers. Previously problems in deficit issues in Europe and efforts by China to …
Key Drivers in Foreign Exchange Market Key Drivers in Foreign Exchange Market Reviewed by magonomics on January 25, 2010 Rating: 5
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Bernanke's Comments...What it All Means

November 17, 2009
Leaving aside the market's immediate reaction, Fed Chairman Bernanke's comments about the dollar are very revealing, not just for his thinking, but it likely reflected senior officials in the Obama Administration as well. In the last FOMC statement that the Fed highlighted three considerations behind its view that its Fed funds target can …
Bernanke's Comments...What it All Means Bernanke's Comments...What it All Means Reviewed by magonomics on November 17, 2009 Rating: 5
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China

November 13, 2009
Speculation that China may move on its currency this weekend will likely prove for naught. Nevertheless yuan non-delivered forwards continue to rise today and indicative pricing for the 12-month NDF is for a 3.6% appreciation, the most in several weeks. Many observers, including the media risk exaggerating that Nov 11 report by the central bank th…
China China Reviewed by magonomics on November 13, 2009 Rating: 5
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Inflation Expectations or What?

November 09, 2009
There is much talk today about what appears to be rising inflation expectations in the U.S. There are several market indicators that are capturing people's attention today.
First the yield curve, measured by the difference between the 2 year yield and the 10-year yields stands near 262 bp, having risen now 21 bp over the past month. Second, th…
Inflation Expectations or What? Inflation Expectations or What? Reviewed by magonomics on November 09, 2009 Rating: 5
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Obama's Speech on the Anniversary of Lehman's Demise

September 14, 2009
U.S President Obama is scheduled speak in NY near midday. He speech is expected to focus on the economy and the financial situation. As policy makers move from triage to reform, stark contrasts are emerging between the US and European approaches.
Obama's Speech on the Anniversary of Lehman's Demise Obama's Speech on the Anniversary of Lehman's Demise Reviewed by magonomics on September 14, 2009 Rating: 5
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Watch for US Trade Dispute Decisions

September 09, 2009
The US Commerce Dept is expected to announce its decision regarding oil and gas pipe imports from China later today. US steel workers and US Steel have joined forces with US affiliate of Russia's second largest steel producer and Wheatland Tube, a Pennsylvania-based steel company to file formal complaints again Chinese steel pipe imports. US s…
Watch for US Trade Dispute Decisions Watch for US Trade Dispute Decisions Reviewed by magonomics on September 09, 2009 Rating: 5
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Fed Developments

August 25, 2009
The talk of the day is that Bernanke will be re-nominated by President Obama for a second term. It was hardly surprising. As of yesterday, www.intrade.com had a it the most likely outcome by a a 3 to 1 margin. The real surprise was that NY AFL-CIO leader Denis Hughes was named the chairman of the NY Fed's board for the remainder of the year. H…
Fed Developments Fed Developments Reviewed by magonomics on August 25, 2009 Rating: 5
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A Reasonable Case for Guarded Optimism

April 10, 2009
Toward the end of the month we will learn that US economy continued to contract sharply in the first quarter. The economy is also likely contracting in the current quarter. Unemployment is still rising and house prices are continuing to fall. But to conclude, as many of the cynics do, that all the government spending has proven for naught, is prem…
A Reasonable Case for Guarded Optimism A Reasonable Case for Guarded Optimism Reviewed by magonomics on April 10, 2009 Rating: 5
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U.S. Shock and Awe ... Or Not

February 10, 2009
Obama's presidential campaign was regarded as near flawless, but over the last few weeks, it has been underwhelming, and today's delayed Treasury presentation is more of the same. The details were largely leaked which essentially sacrifices any element of surprise. There seems to be little that is bold or new that will break the negative p…
U.S. Shock and Awe ... Or Not U.S. Shock and Awe ... Or Not Reviewed by magonomics on February 10, 2009 Rating: 5
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The Future of the Strong Dollar Policy

January 16, 2009
Shortly after Barrack Obama is sworn in next week as the 44th President of the United States, the strong dollar policy turns 14 years old. It may not be much of an exaggeration to suggest as goes Obama’s dollar policy so goes his Administration.
This is not to endorse overly simplistic notions that the dollar is like stock in America. There are a m…
The Future of the Strong Dollar Policy The Future of the Strong Dollar Policy Reviewed by magonomics on January 16, 2009 Rating: 5
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