Results for Great Graphic
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Great Graphic: Is Mr Market Thinking About the First Fed Cut?

July 12, 2018
The US economy is among the strongest among the large economies.  Goosed by the never-fail elixir of tax cuts and spending increases, the US economy is accelerating.  Nevertheless, we continue to see the fiscal boost as short-lived, and a recent Fed paper suggested that fiscal stimulus in an upswing may not have the same multiplier as during a dow…
Great Graphic: Is Mr Market Thinking About the First Fed Cut? Great Graphic:  Is Mr Market Thinking About the First Fed Cut?  Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 12, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken

May 30, 2018
When one trades futures, one declares whether one has an underlying business need, in which case one is considered a commercial.  If no underlying business need exists, one is classified as a non-commercial, which in the vernacular of the market is a speculator. 
This first Great Graphic, created on Bloomberg, shows the net speculative euro positio…
Great Graphic: Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken Great Graphic:  Euro Bulls Stir but Hardly Shaken Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 30, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Euro-Swiss Shows Elevated Systemic Risk

May 21, 2018
The Swiss National Bank's decision in January 2015 to remove the cap on the Swiss franc (floor on the euro) that it has set at CHF1.20 is seared into the memory of a generation of foreign exchange participants.  It is not exactly clear where the euro bottomed in the frenzied activity that followed the SNB's surprise move.  Bloomberg record…
Great Graphic: Euro-Swiss Shows Elevated Systemic Risk Great Graphic:  Euro-Swiss Shows Elevated Systemic Risk Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 21, 2018 Rating: 5
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Widening Inflation Differential Between US-EMU

May 14, 2018
The euro is beginning this week with a four-week slide in tow. It has depreciated in eight of the past ten weeks.  It fell in only three months in 2017 and has already fallen two this year. Nearly halfway through May, the euro is off almost a cent.  
Widening interest rate differentials have some explanatory power.  When interest rate differentials…
Widening Inflation Differential Between US-EMU Widening Inflation Differential Between US-EMU Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 14, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Aussie Tests Trendline

April 23, 2018
It is not that the Australian dollar is the weakest currency this month.  Its 0.4% decline puts it among the better performers against the US dollar. However, it has fallen to a new low for the year today.  The losses have carried to a trendline drawn off of the early 2016 low near $0.6800. 
The trendline has been drawn on this Great Graphic compos…
Great Graphic: Aussie Tests Trendline Great Graphic:  Aussie Tests Trendline Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 23, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Loonie Takes Big Step toward Technical Objective

April 10, 2018
For a little more than two weeks, we have been monitoring the formation of a possible head and shoulders top in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar.  The neckline broke a week ago.  It is not uncommon for the neckline to be retested after the break.  That was what happened yesterday.  
The US dollar recorded an outside down day yesterday.  It…
Great Graphic: Loonie Takes Big Step toward Technical Objective Great Graphic:  Loonie Takes Big Step toward Technical Objective Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 10, 2018 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Aussie-Kiwi Approaches Trendline

April 09, 2018
Today is the fifth consecutive session that the Australian dollar has weakened against the New Zealand dollar.  It has now fallen to test a three-year old trendline that we show on the Great Graphic, composed on Bloomberg.  
The last leg down in the Aussie actually began last October, and through today's low, it is off by a little more than 7%.…
Great Graphic: Aussie-Kiwi Approaches Trendline Great Graphic:  Aussie-Kiwi Approaches Trendline Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 09, 2018 Rating: 5
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