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The Charts: China Allows CNY to Rise Against the Dollar as the Greenback Advances Against Almost Everyone Else The Charts: China Allows CNY to Rise Against the Dollar as the Greenback Advances Against Almost Everyone Else Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 19, 2020 Rating: 5
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Technicals: The Underlying Signal

January 12, 2020
The heightened geopolitical risks and then the unwind drove the price action in the capital markets last week, the first full week of the new year.  These are the kind of markets that whipsaw even the most experienced and nimble among us.  We review the recent price action and technical condition of some of the major currencies and other instrumen…
Technicals: The Underlying Signal Technicals: The Underlying Signal Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 12, 2020 Rating: 5
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The Charts: Corrective Pressures are Building

January 05, 2020
What was a good week for risk assets, albeit in thin holiday markets soured ahead of the week as geopolitical fears escalated between the US and Iran.  Also, North Korea's Kim Jong Un was particularly provocative, and Turkish troops will enter Libya, clearly as US President Trump said, "complicating the situation." The markets freque…
The Charts: Corrective Pressures are Building The Charts: Corrective Pressures are Building Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 05, 2020 Rating: 5
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Greenback Struggling

December 29, 2019
The US dollar is finishing the year on a soft note.  The Federal Reserve's real broad trade-weighted dollar index, which is updated at the end of the month, was lower at the end of November than at the end of 2018 (101.85 vs. 102.00). It has eased in five of the past six months, and  December has not been kind.  In nominal terms, the dollar ha…
Greenback Struggling Greenback Struggling Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 29, 2019 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Weaponization of the Dollar and the Search for an Alternative

December 17, 2019
I talked to Rick Santelli on CNBC earlier today about the dollar.  A link to the video clip can be found here.  Our brief discussion had two components.  In the first, talked about the seemingly never-ending quest for an alternative to the dollar.  I have argued that the biggest threat to the greenback's role in economics and finance does not …
Cool Video: Weaponization of the Dollar and the Search for an Alternative Cool Video: Weaponization of the Dollar and the Search for an Alternative Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 17, 2019 Rating: 5
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Look for Near-Term Dollar Recovery

December 15, 2019
The dollar extended the down move that began at the start of the month last week.  It fell against nearly all the currencies in the world but the yen and Turkish lira. However, the near-term decline may be exhausted, and a recovery is likely in the days ahead.  With interest rates low and much of the perceived event risk being alleviated, this is …
Look for Near-Term Dollar Recovery Look for Near-Term Dollar Recovery Reviewed by Marc Chandler on December 15, 2019 Rating: 5
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Not a Good Day for Negotiators

October 08, 2019
o Overview: The re-opening of Chinese markets after a long holiday did not produce the volatility that many expected. Chinese stocks alongside most Asia markets traded higher today, and the yuan advanced. After opening higher and extending its recent rally, Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 turned down, even though Germany announced an unexpected ga…
Not a Good Day for Negotiators Not a Good Day for Negotiators Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 08, 2019 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Sketch of Bullish Case for Gold

June 25, 2019
I know some people who are always bullish gold.  I am not.  In fact, I often think I can find higher returning assets.  However, I have recently have turned bullish gold, and while in Toronto on business, I was invited to the set of Bloomberg to discuss my change of heart.
Many of the reasons the gold bugs cite would seem to justify owning gold b…
Cool Video: Sketch of Bullish Case for Gold Cool Video: Sketch of Bullish Case for Gold Reviewed by Marc Chandler on June 25, 2019 Rating: 5
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Greenback Breaks Down

June 23, 2019
The US dollar fell against all the world's currencies last week. Although most of the G10 central banks have what can be considered easing biases, the dollar is most vulnerable because there is so much more scope to ease and its strength had been in no small measure predicated on monetary divergence.  
It is striking that the dollar did not ral…
Greenback Breaks Down Greenback Breaks Down Reviewed by Marc Chandler on June 23, 2019 Rating: 5
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Speculative Position Adjustments Include the first Net Short Euro Position in Over a Year Speculative Position Adjustments Include the first Net Short Euro Position in Over a Year Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 20, 2018 Rating: 5
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