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The Fed and GDP: Week Ahead

July 23, 2022
The outcome of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting on July 27 is the most important event in the last week of July. After a brief flirtation with a 100 bp hike after the June CPI accelerated, the market has settled back to a 75 bp move. The Fed funds futures are pricing about a 10% chance of a 100 bp hike. The market anticipates that…
The Fed and GDP: Week Ahead The Fed and GDP: Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 23, 2022 Rating: 5
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Did China's Politburo Throw Markets a Lifeline?

April 29, 2022
Overview: Speculation that a midday statement by China's Politburo signals new efforts to support the economy ahead of  next week's holiday appears to have stirred the animal spirits.  The unusual timing of the statement helped spark a rally in Asia-Pacific that lifted most of the large market by more than 1%.  Europe's Stoxx 600 has n…
Did China's Politburo Throw Markets a Lifeline? Did China's Politburo Throw Markets a Lifeline? Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 29, 2022 Rating: 5
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Measuring Inflation and the Week Ahead

July 10, 2021
There is quite an unusual price context for new week's economic events, which include June US CPI, retail sales, and industrial production, along with China's Q2 GDP, and the meetings for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Bank of Canada, and the Bank of Japan. In addition, the US Treasury will sell $120 bln in coupons while the US earne…
Measuring Inflation and the Week Ahead Measuring Inflation and the Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 10, 2021 Rating: 5
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Reflections on Counter-Value Macro

February 13, 2021
It may be a bit morbid, but consider the targeting of missiles for a moment.  One broad strategy is called counter-value; the value, of course, is people.  This is the sanitized way that targeting urban centers is discussed.  The alternative is counter-force, the force being the enemy's missiles.  Counter-force sounds like a more humane target…
Reflections on Counter-Value Macro Reflections on Counter-Value Macro Reviewed by Marc Chandler on February 13, 2021 Rating: 5
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The Week Ahead and Why the FOMC Meeting may not be the Most Interesting

January 25, 2020
The week ahead is arguably the most important here at the start of 2020.  The Federal Reserve and the Bank of England meet. The US and the eurozone report initial estimates of Q4 19 GDP.  The eurozone also reports its preliminary estimate of January CPI.  China returns from the extended Lunar New Year celebration and reports its official PMI.  Jap…
The Week Ahead and Why the FOMC Meeting may not be the Most Interesting The Week Ahead and Why the FOMC Meeting may not be the Most Interesting Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 25, 2020 Rating: 5
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Great Graphic: Selected GDP Performance since 2008 and Policy

June 21, 2017
This Great Graphic was tweeted by Martin Beck, and it comes from Oxford Economics, using Haver Analytics database.   It shows the relative economic growth since 2008 for the US, UK, Japan, and EMU.  
It will not surprise many to learn that US contraction was not as deep as in the areas.  It also would not be surprising to learn that the US economy …
Great Graphic: Selected GDP Performance since 2008 and Policy Great Graphic: Selected GDP Performance since 2008 and Policy Reviewed by Marc Chandler on June 21, 2017 Rating: 5
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