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Markets Ending the Week on Better Note

March 20, 2020
Overview:  Dramatic price action continues but in the other direction.  Stocks and bonds have rallied strongly, and the US dollar is snapping a strong advance with a sharp and broad setback.  The immediate trigger is hard to identify.  Some accounts linking it to fears that the California shutdown will be repeated throughout the country, deepening…
Markets Ending the Week on Better Note Markets Ending the Week on Better Note Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 20, 2020 Rating: 5
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Four Drivers in the Week Ahead

January 05, 2014
In the first full week of 2014, we identify four main sets of drivers for the foreign exchange market:  the significance of last week's price action, interest rate differentials, central banks, and data releases.  
1. Significance of last week's price action:  Many observers have been discussing the dollar's weakness since the Fed anno…
Four Drivers in the Week Ahead Four Drivers in the Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on January 05, 2014 Rating: 5
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Conceptualizing Europe

July 19, 2012
The US dollar is  a bit heavier against most foreign currencies as risk appetites across the board appear to have strengthened.  Global equities are mostly higher.  Core bond markets are also a touch heavier.  Spanish and Italian 10-year yields were flirting with the 7% and 6% levels but have since pulled back (however note that Spain's 2-yea…
Conceptualizing Europe Conceptualizing Europe Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 19, 2012 Rating: 5
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Sentiment Turning on Germany?

June 14, 2012
It has been a difficult week for Germany.  Instead of attributing the intensification of the crisis to the debtors, some officials and observers, as well as the media, are blaming Germany for not opening its purse more.  Germany, we are told, is isolated, but it is not.  The key division in Europe is creditor and debtor.  For much of its resistanc…
Sentiment Turning on Germany? Sentiment Turning on Germany? Reviewed by Marc Chandler on June 14, 2012 Rating: 5
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The Danish Dilemma: What the Euro Crisis has Wrought

May 31, 2012
Denmark, like Switzerland, offers negative interest rates.  This is not just bills either, but in Denmark's case, rates are negative through the 2-year tenor.  Swiss rates are negative through the 4-5 year sector.  The Danish situation is similar to Switzerland's.  
As money seeks refuge from the uncertainty in the euro zone, especially w…
The Danish Dilemma: What the Euro Crisis has Wrought The Danish Dilemma: What the Euro Crisis has Wrought Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 31, 2012 Rating: 5
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Next CB to Provide 3-Year Loans? Denmark

March 23, 2012
The Danish central bank will borrow a page from the ECB's playbook and provide 3-year loans to local banks next week (March 30). Denmark's banks (~120) have been largely locked out of the funding markets since senior creditors lost money when Amagerbanken failed a year ago.
Danish banks have to repay about DKK150 bln of state-backed debt n…
Next CB to Provide 3-Year Loans? Denmark Next CB to Provide 3-Year Loans? Denmark Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 23, 2012 Rating: 5
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