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Rate Expectation Adjustment Continues

October 11, 2021
Overview:  Equities are softer and yields higher to start the new week.  The dollar is mixed.  Oil and industrial metals are higher. There are several developments over the weekend, but the focus seems to be on central bank action, inflation reports by the US and China, and the start of the Q3 earnings season.  Shares rallied in Japan and Hong Kon…
Rate Expectation Adjustment Continues Rate Expectation Adjustment Continues Reviewed by Marc Chandler on October 11, 2021 Rating: 5
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What to Expect When You are Expecting

September 22, 2021
Overview: The markets have stabilized since Monday's panic attack but have not made much headway.  China and Taiwan returned from the extended holiday weekend.  Mainland shares were mixed. Shanghai rose by about 0.4%, while Shenzhen fell by around 0.25%.  Taiwan got tagged for 2%, and Japan's Topix was off 1%.  Hong Kong and South Korean m…
What to Expect When You are Expecting What to Expect When You are Expecting Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 22, 2021 Rating: 5
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Challenging Week Ahead

July 31, 2021
Three macro considerations are shaping the investment climate: the evolution of the virus and the response, the timeframe of the Fed's tapering, and China's broad regulatory crackdown. Beijing's new policy initiatives are broader and quicker than generally anticipated.  Officials seem to be opening up several different fronts, includin…
Challenging Week Ahead Challenging Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 31, 2021 Rating: 5
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Turn Around Tuesday or Dollar Rally Resumes?

June 22, 2021
Overview:  Firming long-term US yields have lent the dollar support after trading heavily yesterday.  The greenback is around 0.15%-0.50% higher against the major currencies.  The Japanese yen and Canadian dollar are among the more resilient, and the Australian dollar and sterling among the heaviest.  Emerging market currencies are mostly lower, e…
Turn Around Tuesday or Dollar Rally Resumes? Turn Around Tuesday or Dollar Rally Resumes?  Reviewed by Marc Chandler on June 22, 2021 Rating: 5
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Another Big Week Ahead

May 01, 2021
Now that the first estimates of Q1 growth in the US, China, and the EMU, which account for around 70% of the world's economy, have been reported, March's economic data will lose some of its gravitas. Indeed, the April PMIs and some other survey data, including business and investor confidence, and a series of regional Fed's manufacturi…
Another Big Week Ahead Another Big Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 01, 2021 Rating: 5
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Data and the Virus may Determine the Magnitude of the Dollar's Bounce

August 01, 2020
There is no reason to expect the investment climate is going to change next week.  The key drivers remain the same.  The resurgence being seen in the virus is posing a speed bump in the re-opening and recovery process.  The work of monetary and fiscal policy is not over.  The low real and nominal interest rates are encouraging risk-taking by saver…
Data and the Virus may Determine the Magnitude of the Dollar's Bounce Data and the Virus may Determine the Magnitude of the Dollar's Bounce Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 01, 2020 Rating: 5
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Picking up the Czech

April 06, 2017
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)
The Czech National Bank (CNB) ended the EUR/CZK floor today. Timing was a little earlier than expected, but rising inflation and a robust economy warranted it.  We think it’s too soon to talk about a rate hike, as we expect the koruna to overshoot to the strong side.  
POLICY OUTLOOK
Price pressures are rising, with …
Picking up the Czech Picking up the Czech Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 06, 2017 Rating: 5
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