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The Critical Week Ahead

September 12, 2020
Many macroeconomic and geopolitical issues remain open and are unsettling.  Europe is wrestling with the Turkey-Greece dispute over territory of potentially significant value in the Mediterranean.  The trade negotiations between the UK and EU have deteriorated, and the window of opportunity for an agreement is closing quickly.  Meanwhile, the pois…
The Critical Week Ahead The Critical Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 12, 2020 Rating: 5
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The Race is Afoot? Over to the ECB

September 05, 2020
The Federal Reserve's adoption of an average inflation target pushed on a door in the foreign exchange market that was already open.  The dollar had been trending lower since the end of March and, as of the end of August, was down against all the major currencies this year, save the New Zealand and Canadian dollars.
The real broad trade-weighte…
The Race is Afoot? Over to the ECB The Race is Afoot? Over to the ECB Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 05, 2020 Rating: 5
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August Survey Data and Beyond

August 15, 2020
Economists are often lampooned because of their inability to forecast changes in the business cycle.  But the pandemic helped them overcome the challenge this time. A record contraction in Q2 was anticipated before in March.  Similarly, economists generally expected the recovery after the March-April body blow.  However, after an initial surge, so…
August Survey Data and Beyond August Survey Data and Beyond Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 15, 2020 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Dollar, Trade, and China on TDA Network

July 06, 2020
I began my career as a reporter on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, covering the currency futures and short-term interest rate futures for a news wire.   Among other things, I learned that often, the locals, people trading with their own money and wits, would take the opposite side of trades of the institutional players.  The institut…
Cool Video: Dollar, Trade, and China on TDA Network Cool Video: Dollar, Trade, and China on TDA Network Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 06, 2020 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: TD Ameritrade--Stocks, the Dollar and the Trap Laid by the German Court Cool Video: TD Ameritrade--Stocks, the Dollar and the Trap Laid by the German Court Reviewed by Marc Chandler on May 06, 2020 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: CNBC Asia

April 13, 2020
As the markets were re-opening in Asia earlier today, I joined Martin Soong and Sri Jegarajah on CNBC Asia.  I had returned from a business trip and visited our summer house on the Jersey shore for what I thought was going to be a weekend more than a month ago.  
Oil prices had initially reacted positively to the OPEC+ agreement. Still, I was skept…
Cool Video: CNBC Asia Cool Video: CNBC Asia Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 13, 2020 Rating: 5
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The Week Ahead is not about the Week Ahead

August 24, 2019
It's the last week of August.  Several economic reports will be released in the coming days. They include the US deflator of consumer expenditures that the Federal Reserve targets, China's PMI, and the eurozone's preliminary August CPI.  It is not that the data do not matter, but investors realize the die is cast. 
They are looking fur…
The Week Ahead is not about the Week Ahead The Week Ahead is not about the Week Ahead Reviewed by Marc Chandler on August 24, 2019 Rating: 5
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Global Bond Rally Continues, Greenback Remains Firm

March 27, 2019
Overview: The US 10-year yield is trading below the Fed funds target.  The two-year yield is trading below the lower end of the Fed funds target range.  A warning by New Zealand that the next rate move could be a cut sent New Zealand and Australian yields to new record lows.  In Japan, the 10-year yield slipped below the overnight unsecured call r…
Global Bond Rally Continues, Greenback Remains Firm Global Bond Rally Continues, Greenback Remains Firm Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 27, 2019 Rating: 5
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Cool Video: Bloomberg--Sterling and the Euro

March 26, 2019
I joined Shey Ann and Amanda Lang on the Bloomberg set to talk about sterling and the euro.The media makes it sound like there was a coup in the UK and Parliament has taken control of Brexit.  This is an exaggeration. The House of Commons did secure tomorrow to have "indicative votes" on the different alternatives.  These votes are not b…
Cool Video: Bloomberg--Sterling and the Euro Cool Video: Bloomberg--Sterling and the Euro Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 26, 2019 Rating: 5
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Monday Blues: Equities Pare Quarterly Gains

March 25, 2019
Overview:  Global equities have soured after the US shares dropped the most since very early in the year before the weekend.  Asia's sell-off was led by the 3% decline in Nikkei, while Malaysia fared among the best, surrendering 1%.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is off for a fourth session. It lost 1.2% at the end of last week and gapped l…
Monday Blues: Equities Pare Quarterly Gains Monday Blues: Equities Pare Quarterly Gains Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 25, 2019 Rating: 5
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